Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.5% vs Brown 54.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 73.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 84.4%
Neutral zone
Brown 73.7%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Geekie
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Geekie
Brown
Last 5: Geekie 3-2 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
Brown
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
2
Geekie
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,307)
56.5% (726)
-7.7%
Power Play
45.7% (188)
62.5% (8)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (129)
47.8% (136)
-2.1%
On power play, Brown has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Geekie shoots right. Brown is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Geekie
Brown
Home
50.0% (1,281)
57.4% (364)
Away
46.8% (1,343)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Geekie
Brown
P1
48.6%
51.4%
P2
48.8%
54.6%
P3
47.7%
58.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Patrick Brown |