Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.3% vs Holmberg 49.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 75.3%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 69.4%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 51.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Geekie
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Geekie
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
1
Geekie
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (352)
49.0% (245)
-3.3%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
33.3% (3)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
48.6% (37)
-15.3%
On power play, Geekie has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Geekie shoots right. Holmberg is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Geekie
Holmberg
Home
48.5% (165)
50.3% (147)
Away
45.0% (209)
47.1% (138)
By Period
Geekie
Holmberg
P1
48.5%
59.2%
P2
45.1%
40.0%
P3
45.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
45.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Pontus Holmberg |