Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Geekie wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.9% vs Poehling 49.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 84.6%
Defensive zone
Geekie 80.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 79.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Geekie
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Geekie
Poehling
Last 10: Geekie 2-8 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Geekie
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
5
Geekie
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
1
Geekie
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (584)
50.4% (752)
-6.7%
Power Play
47.1% (68)
37.0% (27)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
45.3% (159)
+4.7%
On power play, Geekie has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Geekie shoots right. Poehling is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Geekie
Poehling
Home
45.3% (329)
51.2% (467)
Away
42.9% (331)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Geekie
Poehling
P1
41.2%
54.6%
P2
45.0%
46.7%
P3
46.2%
46.7%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |