Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.3% vs Pinto 50.1% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 80.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 80.4%
Neutral zone
Pinto 54.2%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Geekie
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Geekie
Pinto
Last 6: Geekie 3-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
3
0
Geekie
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Geekie
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (352)
50.4% (779)
-4.7%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
55.2% (29)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.9% (78)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Geekie is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Geekie shoots right. Pinto is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Geekie
Pinto
Home
48.5% (165)
52.4% (454)
Away
45.0% (209)
47.7% (432)
By Period
Geekie
Pinto
P1
48.5%
48.1%
P2
45.1%
52.9%
P3
45.8%
49.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:15 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |