Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Danielson wins 38.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danielson 42.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danielson 82.0%
Defensive zone
Danielson 88.5%
Neutral zone
Danielson 78.7%
Result
Nate Danielson favored at 83.9%
83.9%
16.1%
Danielson
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Danielson
Foligno
Last 5: Danielson 0-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Danielson
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Danielson
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Danielson
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danielson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (140)
48.3% (2,810)
-10.4%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
52.3% (730)
-32.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.0% (455)
+56.0%
On penalty kill, Danielson has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Danielson is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Danielson shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Home / Away
Danielson
Foligno
Home
38.4% (99)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
36.2% (47)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Danielson
Foligno
P1
41.2%
47.6%
P2
37.7%
50.4%
P3
33.3%
48.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danielson
32.0%▼
37.7%
37.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 3 | 09:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |