Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 46.0% vs Thompson 50.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudette 77.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 68.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudette 58.3%
Result
Adam Gaudette favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Gaudette
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Gaudette
Thompson
Last 9: Gaudette 4-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Gaudette
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudette
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (94)
49.6% (230)
-9.2%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Thompson has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Gaudette is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Gaudette shoots right. Thompson is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Thompson
Home
42.6% (61)
52.2% (134)
Away
42.9% (63)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Gaudette
Thompson
P1
41.0%
54.5%
P2
45.7%
48.0%
P3
41.0%
48.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Adam Gaudette |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |