Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Thompson 52.9% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 53.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 54.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Lowry
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Lowry
Thompson
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
9
Lowry
Thompson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
5
Lowry
Thompson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,115)
54.1% (5,812)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
54.8% (135)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,137)
47.9% (1,381)
-3.0%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Lowry is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,728).
Lowry shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Lowry
Thompson
Home
53.5% (5,893)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
49.7% (5,814)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Lowry
Thompson
P1
51.6%
53.2%
P2
51.8%
52.9%
P3
51.5%
52.8%
OT
47.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
54.0%▼
56.0%
51.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 3, 2017 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |