Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 42.2% vs Thompson 53.4% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 66.0%
Defensive zone
Nieves 51.9%
Neutral zone
Nieves 65.9%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Nieves
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nieves
Thompson
Last 6: Nieves 2-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nieves
1
0
Nieves
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nieves
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Nieves
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (220)
54.5% (628)
-15.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
47.4% (19)
-47.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.3% (113)
-18.0%
On power play, Thompson has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Nieves is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Nieves shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Nieves
Thompson
Home
44.1% (118)
55.6% (329)
Away
33.0% (109)
52.4% (431)
By Period
Nieves
Thompson
P1
41.7%
55.3%
P2
35.4%
48.1%
P3
39.7%
58.4%
Final 5 min
33.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
38.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |