Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.8% vs Thompson 52.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Brassard 90.6%
Defensive zone
Brassard 71.6%
Neutral zone
Brassard 77.9%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Brassard
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Brassard
Thompson
Last 10: Brassard 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Brassard
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Brassard
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
4
Brassard
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,162)
54.4% (870)
-5.9%
Power Play
49.7% (181)
45.8% (24)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
45.1% (162)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brassard is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Brassard shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Brassard
Thompson
Home
51.7% (689)
55.3% (510)
Away
45.9% (687)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Brassard
Thompson
P1
48.1%
53.5%
P2
51.8%
52.2%
P3
45.9%
52.7%
OT
52.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |