Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.2% vs Thompson 51.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 83.0%
Defensive zone
Brassard 51.8%
Neutral zone
Brassard 63.6%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Brassard
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Brassard
Thompson
Last 8: Brassard 2-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Brassard
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Brassard
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Brassard
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (1,114)
53.2% (380)
-4.3%
Power Play
57.8% (211)
50.0% (16)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
45.5% (55)
-2.6%
On power play, Brassard has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Brassard is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Brassard shoots left. Thompson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Brassard
Thompson
Home
50.9% (666)
53.9% (243)
Away
49.6% (680)
50.0% (208)
By Period
Brassard
Thompson
P1
53.3%
46.9%
P2
47.5%
62.2%
P3
49.9%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |