Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 47.8% vs Thompson 51.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 64.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 86.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Malkin
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Malkin
Thompson
Last 5: Malkin 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Malkin
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (366)
52.6% (462)
-5.1%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
80.0% (10)
-38.1%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
44.4% (133)
+30.6%
On power play, Thompson has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Malkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (265).
Malkin shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Malkin
Thompson
Home
52.1% (213)
52.5% (324)
Away
42.0% (200)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Malkin
Thompson
P1
47.2%
49.0%
P2
44.4%
55.4%
P3
50.0%
48.3%
OT
66.7%
83.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
47.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |