Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 50.3% vs Thompson 54.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 62.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 94.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 79.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
Malkin
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Malkin
Thompson
Last 10: Malkin 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
0
Malkin
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Malkin
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (774)
55.8% (654)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.3% (92)
50.0% (10)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
10.0% (10)
51.2% (123)
-41.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Malkin is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Malkin shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Malkin
Thompson
Home
49.1% (411)
57.0% (421)
Away
51.4% (465)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Malkin
Thompson
P1
49.5%
57.9%
P2
54.7%
52.3%
P3
46.7%
55.2%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
50.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2020 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |