Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.9%). Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Thompson 52.9% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 63.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 53.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Evans
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Evans
Thompson
Last 10: Evans 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
4
2
Evans
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
5
Evans
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
6
1
Evans
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
54.1% (5,812)
-0.3%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
54.8% (135)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
47.9% (1,381)
-0.8%
On power play, Evans has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Evans
Thompson
Home
53.4% (2,593)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Evans
Thompson
P1
54.0%
53.2%
P2
50.9%
52.9%
P3
52.0%
52.8%
OT
46.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:42 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 05:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |