Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.9% vs Thompson 51.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 71.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 73.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 53.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Spezza
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spezza
Thompson
Last 5: Spezza 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Spezza
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (88)
52.6% (462)
+1.9%
Power Play
75.0% (16)
80.0% (10)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
44.4% (133)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Spezza is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Spezza shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Spezza
Thompson
Home
62.2% (45)
52.5% (324)
Away
54.1% (74)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Spezza
Thompson
P1
58.7%
49.0%
P2
64.1%
55.4%
P3
46.9%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
57.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2013 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |