Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Thompson 52.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 59.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 70.3%
Neutral zone
Beagle 53.5%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Beagle
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
20
(36 meetings)
16
20
Beagle
Thompson
Last 10: Beagle 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
13
Beagle
Thompson
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
3
Beagle
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
7
4
Beagle
Thompson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
54.1% (5,812)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
54.8% (135)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
47.9% (1,381)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Beagle
Thompson
Home
59.1% (3,228)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Beagle
Thompson
P1
57.4%
53.2%
P2
57.1%
52.9%
P3
56.2%
52.8%
OT
41.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |