Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.4% vs Thompson 53.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 52.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 87.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 66.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Thornton
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thornton
Thompson
Last 5: Thornton 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (638)
54.5% (628)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
47.4% (19)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
51.3% (113)
-1.3%
On power play, Thornton has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Thornton shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Thornton
Thompson
Home
54.8% (341)
55.6% (329)
Away
50.6% (334)
52.4% (431)
By Period
Thornton
Thompson
P1
55.2%
55.3%
P2
56.5%
48.1%
P3
47.1%
58.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2019 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 01:11 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |