Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Thompson 54.3% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 75.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 72.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Thornton
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Thornton
Thompson
Last 6: Thornton 3-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
1
Thornton
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Thornton
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
55.5% (236)
-12.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On even strength, Thompson has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Thornton
Thompson
Home
41.5% (106)
53.1% (128)
Away
47.8% (69)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Thornton
Thompson
P1
50.8%
59.0%
P2
41.0%
55.4%
P3
40.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |