Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Thompson 52.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 22-15 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 58.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 75.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 66.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Staal
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
22
(37 meetings)
15
22
Staal
Thompson
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
4
Staal
Thompson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
10
Staal
Thompson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
8
Staal
Thompson
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,620)
54.1% (5,812)
+1.8%
Power Play
62.7% (1,745)
54.8% (135)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (2,896)
47.9% (1,381)
+0.1%
On power play, Staal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,773).
Staal shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Staal
Thompson
Home
56.4% (9,663)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
54.3% (9,663)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Staal
Thompson
P1
55.2%
53.2%
P2
55.9%
52.9%
P3
54.9%
52.8%
OT
56.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2019 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:32 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |