Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jooris wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 45.9% vs Thompson 51.7% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 75.8%
Defensive zone
Jooris 78.5%
Neutral zone
Jooris 76.7%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Jooris
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jooris
Thompson
Last 5: Jooris 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Jooris
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Jooris
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (194)
53.2% (380)
-5.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (16)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
30.5% (59)
45.5% (55)
-15.0%
On power play, Jooris has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Jooris is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Jooris shoots right. Thompson is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Jooris
Thompson
Home
43.4% (152)
53.9% (243)
Away
45.7% (105)
50.0% (208)
By Period
Jooris
Thompson
P1
42.4%
46.9%
P2
42.2%
62.2%
P3
49.3%
47.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 2 | 02:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 30, 2016 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 15:55 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |