Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.2% vs Thompson 50.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 92.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 55.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 67.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Draisaitl
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Draisaitl
Thompson
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
6
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Draisaitl
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (675)
49.6% (230)
+5.2%
Power Play
60.2% (266)
50.0% (2)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (90)
53.8% (52)
-4.9%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thompson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thompson
Home
57.3% (525)
52.2% (134)
Away
54.0% (506)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thompson
P1
56.1%
54.5%
P2
54.5%
48.0%
P3
56.6%
48.2%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
55.7%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |