Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Thompson 52.5% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 68.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 69.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 70.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Backlund
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Backlund
Thompson
Last 8: Backlund 2-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Backlund
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Backlund
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
1
Backlund
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (711)
54.4% (870)
-4.3%
Power Play
43.2% (81)
45.8% (24)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (83)
45.1% (162)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Backlund is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Backlund shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Backlund
Thompson
Home
51.0% (396)
55.3% (510)
Away
46.1% (479)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Backlund
Thompson
P1
43.9%
53.5%
P2
51.5%
52.2%
P3
51.0%
52.7%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:04 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 17:01 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 14:59 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |