Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 45.6% vs Thompson 51.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 81.1%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 54.8%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 73.9%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Ribeiro
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ribeiro
Thompson
Last 7: Ribeiro 2-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Ribeiro
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Ribeiro
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (473)
52.6% (462)
-7.6%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
80.0% (10)
-32.2%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
44.4% (133)
-22.2%
On power play, Thompson has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Ribeiro is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Ribeiro shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Thompson
Home
48.9% (268)
52.5% (324)
Away
40.1% (237)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Ribeiro
Thompson
P1
42.5%
49.0%
P2
44.8%
55.4%
P3
46.5%
48.3%
OT
60.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
36.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
44.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:54 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 14:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |