Nate Thompson vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 79.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 55.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Thompson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
17
(33 meetings)
16
17
Thompson
MacKinnon
Last 10: Thompson 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
9
Thompson
MacKinnon
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
8
1
Thompson
MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
7
Thompson
MacKinnon
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
46.1% (11,218)
+8.0%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
53.3% (1,412)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
42.8% (502)
+5.1%
On even strength, Thompson has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Thompson
MacKinnon
Home
54.8% (3,626)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Thompson
MacKinnon
P1
53.2%
47.4%
P2
52.9%
46.6%
P3
52.8%
46.1%
OT
47.9%
48.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 00:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 9, 2016 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |