Nate Thompson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+10.3%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 61.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Thompson
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
45.8% (755)
+9.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
48.3% (60)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
27.6% (29)
+28.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Thompson
MacKinnon
Home
53.1% (128)
49.5% (396)
Away
57.9% (159)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Thompson
MacKinnon
P1
59.0%
50.2%
P2
55.4%
43.8%
P3
52.6%
41.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%