Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 78.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 89.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 65.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Thompson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Thompson
Dowd
Last 10: Thompson 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
5
Thompson
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
6
3
Thompson
Dowd
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
1
Thompson
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
52.4% (6,009)
+1.7%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
56.1% (164)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
44.1% (1,635)
+3.8%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Thompson
Dowd
Home
54.8% (3,626)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Thompson
Dowd
P1
53.2%
51.7%
P2
52.9%
50.4%
P3
52.8%
50.3%
OT
47.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 20, 2020 | 1 | 02:35 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |