Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Dowd 53.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Thompson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Thompson
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Thompson
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
55.4% (771)
+0.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
57.1% (7)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
45.5% (165)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Thompson
Dowd
Home
53.1% (128)
58.2% (462)
Away
57.9% (159)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Thompson
Dowd
P1
59.0%
55.6%
P2
55.4%
50.5%
P3
52.6%
53.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |