Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.2% vs Dowd 48.1% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 60.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 93.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 84.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Thompson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Thompson
Dowd
Last 7: Thompson 6-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
1
Thompson
Dowd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (199)
47.2% (608)
+9.1%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
53.1% (96)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
0.0% (3)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Thompson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Thompson shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Thompson
Dowd
Home
59.5% (116)
48.7% (384)
Away
47.3% (129)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Thompson
Dowd
P1
47.4%
50.2%
P2
56.2%
47.5%
P3
55.1%
46.2%
Final 5 min
57.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 1 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |