Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Bonino 50.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 61.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 79.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 71.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Thompson
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Thompson
Bonino
Last 10: Thompson 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thompson
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
8
6
Thompson
Bonino
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
50.6% (8,315)
+3.5%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
54.1% (972)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
44.6% (1,693)
+3.3%
On even strength, Thompson has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bonino
Home
54.8% (3,626)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Thompson
Bonino
P1
53.2%
50.6%
P2
52.9%
48.5%
P3
52.8%
51.1%
OT
47.9%
45.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 10:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |