Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Bonino 51.2% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Bonino 55.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Thompson
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
51.7% (777)
+3.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
60.0% (50)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
43.9% (98)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bonino
Home
53.1% (128)
48.2% (461)
Away
57.9% (159)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Thompson
Bonino
P1
59.0%
54.1%
P2
55.4%
49.7%
P3
52.6%
50.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%