Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 60.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 95.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 84.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Thompson
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Thompson
Foligno
Last 10: Thompson 7-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Thompson
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
0
Thompson
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
48.3% (2,810)
+5.8%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
52.3% (730)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
44.0% (455)
+3.9%
On even strength, Thompson has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Thompson
Foligno
Home
54.8% (3,626)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Thompson
Foligno
P1
53.2%
47.6%
P2
52.9%
50.4%
P3
52.8%
48.3%
OT
47.9%
29.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 05:21 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 01:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |