Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 56.4%). Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Foligno 51.8% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 70.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Thompson
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
58.1% (31)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
50.0% (6)
+6.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Thompson
Foligno
Home
53.1% (128)
56.3% (16)
Away
57.9% (159)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Thompson
Foligno
P1
59.0%
50.0%
P2
55.4%
66.7%
P3
52.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%