Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 49.6% vs Foligno 45.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 58.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 97.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 78.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Thompson
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thompson
Foligno
Last 5: Thompson 5-0 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (408)
38.7% (119)
+11.5%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
47.8% (23)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (164)
66.7% (6)
-19.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Thompson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Thompson shoots left. Foligno is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Thompson
Foligno
Home
49.3% (304)
39.2% (79)
Away
49.7% (288)
44.3% (70)
By Period
Thompson
Foligno
P1
49.7%
44.0%
P2
46.9%
38.5%
P3
52.1%
42.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 10:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |