Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.7%). Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 51.7% vs Paul 50.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 63.5%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 63.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Thompson
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Thompson
Paul
Last 6: Thompson 1-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Thompson
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
3
Thompson
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (380)
50.8% (59)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (16)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
On power play, Paul has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Thompson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Thompson shoots left. Paul is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Thompson
Paul
Home
53.9% (243)
53.5% (43)
Away
50.0% (208)
47.1% (17)
By Period
Thompson
Paul
P1
46.9%
47.4%
P2
62.2%
50.0%
P3
47.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
23.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.1%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Nick Paul |