Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Paul 50.4% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Paul 55.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 57.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Thompson
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
53.0% (644)
+2.5%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
37.5% (24)
+22.5%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
42.9% (177)
+13.6%
On power play, Thompson has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Thompson shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Thompson
Paul
Home
53.1% (128)
52.5% (516)
Away
57.9% (159)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Thompson
Paul
P1
59.0%
47.6%
P2
55.4%
48.4%
P3
52.6%
54.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%