Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Roy 48.4% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 68.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 65.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Thompson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thompson
Roy
Last 6: Thompson 2-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Thompson
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Thompson
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
48.7% (3,719)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
49.5% (283)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
45.5% (477)
+2.4%
On even strength, Thompson has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Thompson
Roy
Home
54.8% (3,626)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Thompson
Roy
P1
53.2%
50.8%
P2
52.9%
46.3%
P3
52.8%
48.1%
OT
47.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |