Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Roy 48.9% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Roy 72.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 51.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Thompson
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
49.5% (746)
+6.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
50.7% (75)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
42.7% (110)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Thompson
Roy
Home
53.1% (128)
47.7% (491)
Away
57.9% (159)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Thompson
Roy
P1
59.0%
51.1%
P2
55.4%
44.6%
P3
52.6%
50.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%