Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Roy 48.8% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 86.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 56.5%
Neutral zone
Roy 74.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Thompson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Thompson
Roy
Last 6: Thompson 2-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Thompson
Roy
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
2
Thompson
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
50.6% (176)
+5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
11.1% (9)
+40.1%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +40.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Thompson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Thompson shoots left. Roy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Thompson
Roy
Home
57.0% (421)
50.0% (88)
Away
52.7% (366)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Thompson
Roy
P1
57.9%
57.7%
P2
52.3%
46.6%
P3
55.2%
39.1%
Final 5 min
51.5%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 12:33 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |