Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 51.1% vs Elias 46.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 91.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 55.5%
Neutral zone
Elias 73.1%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 85.3%
14.7%
85.3%
Thompson
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Thompson
Elias
Last 6: Thompson 1-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
4
Thompson
Elias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (462)
40.0% (100)
+12.6%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
53.1% (49)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (133)
35.7% (14)
+8.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Thompson shoots left. Elias is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Thompson
Elias
Home
52.5% (324)
46.2% (78)
Away
49.8% (281)
41.2% (85)
By Period
Thompson
Elias
P1
49.0%
44.0%
P2
55.4%
50.0%
P3
48.3%
36.4%
OT
83.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
36.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2013 | OT | 03:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |