Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Elias 42.7% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Elias leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 72.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 76.2%
Neutral zone
Elias 52.0%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Thompson
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Thompson
Elias
Last 10: Thompson 5-5 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
3
5
Thompson
Elias
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Elias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
2
4
Thompson
Elias
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
42.3% (2,591)
+11.8%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
48.4% (405)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
36.0% (367)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Elias is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,229).
Home / Away
Thompson
Elias
Home
54.8% (3,626)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Thompson
Elias
P1
53.2%
41.1%
P2
52.9%
43.1%
P3
52.8%
43.0%
OT
47.9%
43.2%
Final 5 min
51.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 15, 2014 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2013 | OT | 03:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 18:53 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 12, 2011 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |