Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 15-15 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 64.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Thompson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
15
(30 meetings)
15
15
Thompson
Nash
Last 10: Thompson 4-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
7
6
Thompson
Nash
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
4
6
Thompson
Nash
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
3
Thompson
Nash
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
48.7% (4,621)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
51.0% (249)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
44.9% (550)
+3.0%
On even strength, Thompson has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Thompson
Nash
Home
54.8% (3,626)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Thompson
Nash
P1
53.2%
49.0%
P2
52.9%
47.9%
P3
52.8%
48.0%
OT
47.9%
68.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 28, 2019 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 22, 2017 | 1 | 06:29 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 02:06 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |