Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Nash 51.7% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
Nash 51.1%
Defensive zone
Nash 58.3%
Neutral zone
Nash 53.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Thompson
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
54.1% (292)
+1.4%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
57.1% (7)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
45.9% (98)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Thompson
Nash
Home
53.1% (128)
56.3% (183)
Away
57.9% (159)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Thompson
Nash
P1
59.0%
58.9%
P2
55.4%
51.0%
P3
52.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%