Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 51.1% vs Nash 45.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 88.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 51.4%
Neutral zone
Nash 66.4%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Thompson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Thompson
Nash
Last 9: Thompson 3-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Thompson
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Thompson
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Thompson
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (462)
44.8% (270)
+7.8%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
50.0% (10)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (133)
22.2% (9)
+22.2%
On power play, Thompson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Thompson shoots left. Nash is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Thompson
Nash
Home
52.5% (324)
44.2% (147)
Away
49.8% (281)
44.4% (142)
By Period
Thompson
Nash
P1
49.0%
39.1%
P2
55.4%
47.8%
P3
48.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:45 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Riley Nash |