Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Nash 48.2% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 70.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 63.9%
Neutral zone
Nash 71.8%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 68.8%
31.2%
68.8%
Thompson
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Thompson
Nash
Last 10: Thompson 4-6 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Thompson
Nash
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Thompson
Nash
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
1
Thompson
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
48.3% (449)
+7.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
37.5% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
45.5% (55)
+5.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Thompson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Thompson shoots left. Nash is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Thompson
Nash
Home
57.0% (421)
51.6% (275)
Away
52.7% (366)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Thompson
Nash
P1
57.9%
52.7%
P2
52.3%
43.9%
P3
55.2%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 09:06 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 2, 2020 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |