Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 53.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 58.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 56.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Thompson
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
53.2% (299)
+2.3%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
46.5% (86)
+10.0%
On power play, Thompson has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Thompson
Carpenter
Home
53.1% (128)
54.6% (207)
Away
57.9% (159)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Thompson
Carpenter
P1
59.0%
52.3%
P2
55.4%
51.5%
P3
52.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%