Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.7% vs Getzlaf 46.1% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 88.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 64.5%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 72.2%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 80.3%
19.7%
80.3%
Thompson
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thompson
Getzlaf
Last 5: Thompson 1-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
3
Thompson
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Getzlaf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Thompson
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (478)
45.7% (900)
+10.4%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
49.7% (197)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
38.8% (49)
+8.8%
On even strength, Thompson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Thompson is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Thompson shoots left. Getzlaf is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Home / Away
Thompson
Getzlaf
Home
55.2% (315)
48.0% (548)
Away
53.3% (349)
43.9% (635)
By Period
Thompson
Getzlaf
P1
57.5%
43.3%
P2
54.2%
51.1%
P3
51.1%
42.0%
OT
54.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |