Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (+2.4%)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 67.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.7%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 53.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Thompson
Getzlaf
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
52.5% (772)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
60.8% (153)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
48.0% (100)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Thompson
Getzlaf
Home
53.1% (128)
56.0% (557)
Away
57.9% (159)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Thompson
Getzlaf
P1
59.0%
52.2%
P2
55.4%
53.0%
P3
52.6%
54.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%