Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 49.6% vs Getzlaf 47.4% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 82.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 61.0%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 63.6%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Thompson
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thompson
Getzlaf
Last 8: Thompson 2-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
3
Thompson
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Thompson
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (408)
46.8% (1,058)
+3.4%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
52.3% (153)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (164)
42.3% (111)
+4.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Thompson is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Thompson shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Thompson
Getzlaf
Home
49.3% (304)
48.3% (694)
Away
49.7% (288)
46.1% (660)
By Period
Thompson
Getzlaf
P1
49.7%
47.8%
P2
46.9%
46.6%
P3
52.1%
47.2%
OT
20.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 10:33 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 09:27 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |