Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.2% vs Johansen 54.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 61.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 62.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Thompson
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Thompson
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Thompson
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (199)
54.0% (1,251)
+2.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
58.9% (158)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (40)
55.6% (63)
-20.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Thompson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Thompson shoots left. Johansen is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Thompson
Johansen
Home
59.5% (116)
56.3% (746)
Away
47.3% (129)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Thompson
Johansen
P1
47.4%
54.0%
P2
56.2%
53.8%
P3
55.1%
55.7%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |