Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.3% vs Johansen 52.4% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 80.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 71.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 53.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Thompson
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (236)
49.4% (1,010)
+6.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
62.3% (236)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
67.2% (67)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Thompson shoots left. Johansen is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Home / Away
Thompson
Johansen
Home
53.1% (128)
54.7% (655)
Away
57.9% (159)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Thompson
Johansen
P1
59.0%
52.2%
P2
55.4%
50.7%
P3
52.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%