Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.8% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 72.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Thompson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Thompson
O'Reilly
Last 5: Thompson 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Thompson
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (785)
51.5% (194)
+0.7%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
52.3% (107)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
51.4% (70)
-5.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Thompson shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Thompson
O'Reilly
Home
54.1% (475)
50.3% (185)
Away
47.9% (499)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Thompson
O'Reilly
P1
50.0%
51.0%
P2
49.5%
48.9%
P3
54.0%
53.3%
OT
35.7%
68.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |